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CONFRONTING CLIMATE CONFUSION:
A CLIMATE TIMELINE INFORMATION TOOL TO ENHANCE UNDERSTANDING OF
CLIMATE CHANGE

Graphic for NOAA's Climate Timeline Information Tool.March 6, 2003 — While climate scientists debate the details of climate change, there is evidence that much of the general public is still confused by the climate conundrum. For example, according to a recent National Science Foundation survey (taken of adults in the United States regarding their attitudes towards science and technology), there is still considerable misunderstanding about the “dynamics” of climate change. While 88 percent of the public has heard of global warming and 86 percent feel the issue should be treated as a serious or very serious problem, barely half of those surveyed knew how long it takes the Earth to orbit the sun, and 70 percent lack an understanding of basic scientific processes.

NOAA is helping to clarify the public’s general understanding of climate dynamics by putting global climate change into perspective through its “Climate TimeLine” information tool. The Climate TimeLine, which was developed by NOAA staff in Boulder, Colo., is scheduled for launch this year on March 27 during the National Science Teachers Association's National Convention. The Climate TimeLine was designed to provide background information and resources on weather and climate change at varying time scales to non-technical audiences.

Photograph of NOAA researchers studying ice burgs.All About the Climate TimeLine
Developed as an information resource covering the fundamentals of climate change over varying times scales, the Climate TimeLine Information Tool uses a "powers of 10" exponential or logarithmic approach to looking at different time scales. The primary goal of the site is to understand climate of the recent past to provide a context and background for framing current and future climate change.

Beginning with diurnal cycles and climate and weather forecasts for the near-term, the Climate TimeLine uses the exponential "powers of 10" to frame time periods from annual to 100,000 year scales, with a brief overview of natural history and climate for all time frames. Each time scale is broken down into four themes:

  • Overview, which includes a chart of climate-related events covering that time scale;
  • Climate Science, looking at the climate phenomenon and research for the period;
  • Climate History, which examines the human dimension to climate variability over the period; and
  • Resources, that includes links to other resources and ideas for inquiry.

Photograph of a fjord in the Baffin East Coast  Mountains of Nunavut, Canada.Other features include:

  • An Overview of Climate Processes that offers background on Earth's climate system, for those who are unfamiliar with the basics of climate change;
    • “About Climate TimeLine” and “What is Variability?”;
    • A glossary of climate terms;
    • Supplemental pages provide an overview on abrupt climate change, detailed references and citations, and a summary of the challenges of forecasting weather and climate; and
    • The "Search" function found in the left navigation bar of the Climate TimeLine.

Data Access Interface
The heart of the Climate TimeLine is the Data Access page, which allows the user to query for summaries of climatic and related environmental data by zip code and access direct links to a variety of other related federal databases. These data can be used in a variety of ways, including individual research projects or group learning activities. See the tutorial on using the Climate TimeLine to research drought for ideas on how the tool can be used for thematic inquiries. Specific lesson plans for each time scale are also forthcoming.

Photograph of Man-O-War Bay in Tobago, Caribbean Sea.Designing the Climate TimeLine
The Climate TimeLine was developed under a CIRES Innovative Research Grant through the NOAA National Climatic Data Center’s Paleoclimatology Program. Another NOAA office – the National Geophysical Data Center’s Solid Earth Group (located in Boulder, Colo.) – also provided invaluable technical expertise throughout the project.

The conceptual design for the Climate TimeLine is based on the "powers of 10" framework for temporal scaling and causal forcing put forth by J. Murray Mitchell of NOAA's former Environmental Data Service in his 1976 article "An Overview of Climatic Variability and Its Causal Mechanisms" in Quarternary Research. CIRES Associate Scientists Dan Kowal (who developed the technical infrastructure for the site) and Mark McCaffrey (who created the concept and contributed most of the content), were assisted by numerous NOAA scientists in developing and reviewing the site. "Our focus is primarily on the range and processes of naturally occurring climate variability, and we point to other online resources like our Paleo Perspective on Global Warming for those who are specifically interested in human induced climate change," McCaffrey notes.

Photograph of reef flat in Palau Archipelago (Micronesia).
The Climate TimeLine has already been recognized by many individuals and organizations as a premiere climate education and outreach Web site:

  • The development site was highlighted by Science Magazine's NetWatch that wrote that it "introduces students and the public to the study of long-term patterns in temperature and precipitation, helping them understand issues such as the debate over global warming. Using a ‘powers-of-10' approach, the site explores variability on time scales ranging from daily to 100,000 years. Each unit describes scientific findings about climate variation at that scale and discusses how such changes might have influenced human history or evolution."
  • NOAA’s Climate TimeLine information tool was recently selected by the NSTA's SciLinks program for excellence in science education, and the Web site will be listed as a supplemental resource in science textbooks that participate in the SciLinks program. It has also been entered in the Pirelli INTERNETional Award as an environmental education resource.
  • In July of 2002, the prototype of the Climate TimeLine was evaluated by Elizabeth Grassi and Heather Smith from the University of Colorado's College of Education who interviewed, observed and surveyed undergraduate, high school and middle school students along with climate experts and science teachers. The assessment provided confirmation that the overall approach was valid for science students. Ongoing review of the content with experts in climate dynamics and its human dimension has resulted in additional enhancements of the site. Overall, the response to the Climate TimeLine has been favorable. "One of the most rewarding comments I received was from someone who came across our beta site and wrote: ‘I was helping my daughter do a climate project and I found and used your site and I not only wanted to thank you for the information, but I also wanted to praise the setup and ease of navigation of your site. Nicely done.' That's the kind of feedback that is very rewarding to hear," McCaffrey notes.
  • Retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph. D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator, said, “The CTL Web site appears to be an excellent learning tool and certainly provides in-depth information on our climate. It is evident that a lot of thought and work went into creating this Web site, and the effort to provide this kind of tool to high school and undergraduate students, and the public as well, is commendable.

References:
1. National Science Foundation, Division of Science Resources Statistics. Science and Engineering Indicators- 2002. NSB -2-01.
2. Climate Time Line web site
3. Mitchell, J. M. 1976. An Overview of Climatic Variability and Its Causal Mechanisms. Quarternary Research 6, 481-493.
4. Science Magazine Netwatch, June 14, 2002, Climate Through the Ages

Relevant Web Sites
NOAA's “Climate TimeLine” information tool

What is time and how is it measured? What is "powers of ten" temporal scaling?

Future forecasts

Overview: Climate Science

Climate TimeLine Resources

Overview of Climate Processes

Climate TimeLine Fact Sheet

What is Variability?

Glossary of climate terms

Climate TimeLine Data Access page

Climate TimeLine Tutorial: Focus on Drought

NOAA National Climatic Data Center’s Paleoclimatology Program

National Geophysical Data Center’s Solid Earth Group

Climate TimeLine Evaluation Resources

National Climate Data Center

National Geogphysical Data Center

Media Contact:
Glenda Tyson, NOAA's Ocean Service, (301) 713-3066