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TRACKING
LONG-TERM MEASUREMENTS OF GASES AND AEROSOLS THAT CONTRIBUTE TO CLIMATE
CHANGE
July
15, 2004 — The NOAA Climate
Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory collects atmospheric data and
conducts research on atmospheric constituents (or elements) that are capable
of forcing climate change
and may contribute to global ozone
depletion. CMDL accomplishes its mission by collecting long-term gas
(i.e., carbon dioxide, methane, carbon monoxide, halocarbons, nitrous
oxide, tropospheric (lower atmosphere) and stratospheric (upper atmosphere)
ozone), aerosols
and solar/infrared
radiation measurements at sites around the globe. Measurements are
conducted from five manned CMDL Atmospheric Baseline Stations (Pt.
Barrow, Alaska; Trinidad
Head, Calif.; Mauna
Loa, Hawaii; Cape
Matatula, American Samoa and Amundsen-Scott
South Pole Station, Antarctica), and from 60 other globally distributed
cooperative measurement locations, including regular aircraft profiles,
ship transects, balloons and trains. At some stations, CMDL atmospheric
data records date back to 1958 and have continued unbroken to this day.
One of the most significant of these is the carbon dioxide record from
the NOAA Mauna Loa Baseline Observatory in Hawaii.
“By
tracking long-term measurements of gases and aerosols that contribute
to climate change, CMDL supports one of NOAA’s primary mission
goals — to understand climate variability and change to enhance
society’s ability to plan and respond,”
said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad
C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and
atmosphere and NOAA administrator. "Its record of atmospheric measurements
will also serve as a component in the emerging global
observing system." he added.
Carbon
Dioxide
The annual saw-tooth pattern in the carbon dioxide graph to the
right is produced by growing vegetation that consumes carbon dioxide in
the spring and summer, and releases it in the fall and winter. The long-term
upward trend results from carbon dioxide that is released by the combustion
of fossil fuels. Carbon dioxide is the most important climate-forcing
gas in the atmosphere and is growing at a rate of about 1.5 parts-per-million
per year (Click on NOAA image to the right for a larger view of
the Mauna Loa carbon dioxide record).
Methane
Methane
is the second most important climate forcing gas, but its growth rate
in the global atmosphere has stabilized over the last four years. This
may indicate that methane is reaching a steady state (i.e., sources equal
sinks) and/or lower leak rates in the recent production of natural gas
in the former Soviet Union (Click on NOAA image to the right for
a larger view of the CMDL methane measurements).
Halocarbons
Halocarbons
make up the third largest group of climate-forcing gases. These include
chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs), halogenated (contain Cl and Br) solvents — like methyl
chloroform (CH3CCl3) and carbon tetrachloride (CCl4)
— and their replacement compounds, hydrochlorofluorocarbons
(HCFCs) and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). While halocarbon concentrations
are only in the parts-per-trillion (one molecule in a trillion air molecules)
range, these gases are extremely efficient at climate forcing (some about
10,000 times that of carbon dioxide per individual molecule), and absorb
radiation in the “atmospheric window” where other major atmospheric
gases do not.
Halocarbons
also catalyze the destruction of ozone in the stratosphere and are responsible
for the annual Antarctic springtime phenomenon known as the Antarctic
Ozone Hole. In an international effort to protect the ozone layer,
production of most halocarbons are now prohibited or restricted by international
agreement — the Montreal
Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. Only limited
production of CFCs for essential uses (e.g., medical inhalers) and in
developing countries (e.g., China, India, etc.) is currently permitted.
Because of the Montreal Protocol, the total atmospheric amount of chlorine
(and its bromine equivalent) has decreased by about six to seven percent
since 1992. Continued monitoring of halocarbons will provide the fundamental
data needed to better understand stratospheric ozone observations, especially
during the recovery expected over the next few decades (Click
on NOAA image to the right for a larger view of the global trends in controlled
ozone depleting chemicals).
Water
Vapor
Water vapor concentrations in the stratosphere are much smaller than those
in the troposphere, but changes in stratospheric water vapor may play
a significant role in altering the temperature in both layers
of the atmosphere. Global climate model results show that due to energy
redistribution in the stratosphere, increases in water vapor can lead
to cooling in the upper atmosphere, while these same increases can lead
to a warming near the surface. The 22-year record of stratospheric
water vapor observations collected from Boulder, Colo.— the only
one of its kind —
has been derived from
monthly balloon soundings. The record shows significant year-to-year
variations, but over the longer term, the one percent annual increase
in water vapor throughout the entire stratosphere is very significant.
Approximately 30 percent of the recently observed
water vapor increase may be attributed to increases in atmospheric methane
that reacts with the hydroxyl radical (OH) to form carbon dioxide and
water. However, the source for the remaining 70 percent of the increase
is not well established. (Click on NOAA image to the right
for a larger view of increased water vapor in the stratosphere).
Aerosols
Aerosols
are another climate forcing parameter that is measured extensively by
CMDL. These small particles floating in the atmosphere cool the surface
of the Earth by absorbing sunlight and reflecting sunlight back into space.The
net effect of aerosols on the Earth's energy budget can be positive or
negative, depending on the optical properties of the particles and the
brightness of the underlying surface. For example, diesel soot particles
above a snow-covered surface have a net positive forcing (warming), while
sulfate particles from coal combustion over the dark ocean have a net
negative forcing (cooling). The uncertainty of the sign and magnitude
of aerosol climate forcing is high, yet CMDL measurements are helping
to reduce this uncertainty. One of the more pronounced aerosol trends
observed at CMDL comes from the Barrow, Alaska, baseline station where
a springtime concentration of aerosols and anthropogenic gases known as
“Arctic Haze” is associated with air pollution from Russia
and Eastern Europe. Springtime haze concentrations had a factor of four
downward trend between 1982 and 1997, but has climbed in recent years.
This pattern is thought to mirror (in part) the economic activity and
fossil fuel combustion in the former USSR, which is now recovering (Click
on NOAA image to the right for a larger view of the 25 year record of
springtime aerosol measurement at the CMDL Barrow, Alaska, baseline station).
Solar
Radiation
Changes in solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface can have dramatic
effects on climate forcing. CMDL solar
radiation measurements dating back to 1957 at the Mauna Loa Observatory
— now the Earth’s longest record of solar radiation transmission
— show the effects of two large volcanic events, El Chichon in 1982
and Mount Pinatubo in 1991. These eruptions deposited aerosol particles
in the stratosphere that interfered with solar radiation reaching the
Earth’s surface, thus cooling it. Also apparent in the Mauna Loa
solar transmission record are the annual peaks in the dust and anthropogenic
aerosol from Asia that flow to Mauna Loa each spring. The record also
suggests that background atmospheric aerosol concentrations over Mauna
Loa are increasing, possibly due to increasing anthropogenic effluent
flows out of Asia (Click on NOAA image to the right for a larger
view of Mauna Loa solar beam transmission).
Ozone
Ozone
can have either a positive
or negative climate forcing depending on where it is located in the
atmosphere. Increases of ozone in the troposphere,
or lower atmosphere, may cause atmospheric warming. On the other hand,
decreases in stratospheric ozone may contribute to cooling in the lower
atmosphere due to the infrared absorbing properties of ozone. Apart from
the well known Antarctic ozone hole, total column stratospheric ozone
has decreased about three percent over the United States in the past 20
years. On the other hand, CMDL measurement show
that surface ozone has increased at several urban sites in the northern
hemisphere over the past two decades, but there has been no significant
change in the global tropospheric background ozone levels over the same
period.
Trans-Siberian
Observations Into the Chemistry of the Atmosphere
The TROICA
experiment provides a novel means of measuring gases and aerosols
across much of the northern hemisphere with one set of instruments over
a relatively short period of time. The TROICA project consists of coupling
a highly instrumented railway carriage with regular passenger trains traveling
across Russia from Moscow to far eastern Siberia and back — a thirteen-day
journey covering about 17,000 km. The main advantage of this platform
is that overhead electrical lines power all of the locomotives so there
is little pollution from the train itself. Reactive gases such as ozone,
nitrogen dioxide and carbon monoxide can also be measured with little
influence from passing trains.
Future
of Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory Monitoring Programs
CMDL plans to increase its number of ground-based stations and
aircraft sites to refine the nation’s understanding of North American
sources and sinks of carbon cycle gases. In addition to the compounds
already measured, CMDL scientists will add a new group of compounds, called
perfluorocarbons, to their measurement database. PFCs have extremely long
lifetimes in the atmosphere and may contribute significantly to climate
forcing towards the end of this century. CMDL will also continue to provide
atmospheric monitoring data and scientific analyses for future international
assessments in its three principle areas of the research (i.e., climate
forcing, ozone depletion and air quality) and plans for its atmospheric
observations to continue into the next century, and beyond.
Relevant
Web Sites
ATMOSPHERIC
TRANSMISSION OF DIRECT SOLAR RADIATION AT MAUNA LOA, HAWAII
Carbon
Cycle and Greenhouse Gas Group (CCGG) of CMDL
Halocarbons
and other Trace Atmospheric Species Group (HATS) of CMDL
Ozone
and Water Vapor Group (OZWV) of CMDL
Aerosol
Group of CMDL
Solar
& Thermal Atmospheric Group of CMDL
Climate
Change for Educators
NOAA/CMDL
South Pole Ozone Page
Media
Contact:
Jana
Goldman, NOAA Research, (301)
713-2483
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